PAGASA forecasts

LPA to affect parts of Philippines

Acor Arceo

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LPA to affect parts of Philippines

Image from PAGASA

PAGASA says the low pressure area is forecast to cross the Visayas-Southern Luzon area

A low pressure area (LPA) inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) is expected to bring rain to parts of Luzon, the Visayas, and Mindanao.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in a bulletin issued 4 pm on Monday, September 14, that the LPA was located 215 kilometers east of Catarman, Northern Samar.

In the next 24 hours, scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will be experienced in these areas:

  • Marinduque
  • Romblon
  • Quezon
  • Bicol
  • Visayas
  • Mindanao

There may be flash floods and landslides due to moderate to heavy rain, warned PAGASA.

The rest of the country will have isolated rain showers or localized thunderstorms. Flash floods and landslides are also possible, however, during severe thunderstorms.

PAGASA earlier said the LPA is forecast to cross the Visayas-Southern Luzon area, and then develop into a tropical depression as it exits land and moves over the West Philippine Sea.

It could become a tropical depression by Wednesday, September 16, or Thursday, September 17, according to the state weather bureau.

If the LPA does develop into a tropical depression, it would be given the local name Leon, as the Philippines’ 12th tropical cyclone for 2020.

It would also be the 2nd tropical cyclone for the month of September, after Typhoon Kristine (Haishen), which stayed far from land.

An average of 20 tropical cyclones form within or enter PAR each year. Only around half of these make landfall. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2020)

PAGASA gave the following estimates for the number of tropical cyclones inside PAR in the next 6 months:

  • September 2020 – 2 or 3
  • October 2020 – 2 or 3
  • November 2020 – 1 or 2
  • December 2020 – 1 or 2
  • January 2021 – 1 or 2
  • February 2021 – 0 or 1

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season on June 12. – Rappler.com

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Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections and also supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters.