Tropical Depression Lannie made its last two landfalls in the province of Palawan early Tuesday morning, October 5, then exited landmass toward El Nido Bay.

Lannie hit land in the Philippines a total of 10 times:

Monday, October 4

• Bucas Grande Island, Socorro, Surigao del Norte – 4:30 am
• Cagdianao, Dinagat Islands – 5 am
• Liloan, Southern Leyte – 7:30 am
• Padre Burgos, Southern Leyte – 8 am
• Mahanay Island, Talibon, Bohol – 12:30 pm
• Banacon Island, Jetafe, Bohol – 12:45 pm
• San Fernando, Cebu – 1:45 pm
• Guihulngan City, Negros Oriental – 3:30 pm

Tuesday, October 5

• Iloc Island, Linapacan, Palawan – 6:15 am
• El Nido, Palawan – 6:45 am

In its 8 am bulletin, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Lannie was last spotted over the coastal waters of El Nido, moving northwest at 25 kilometers per hour (km/h).

The tropical depression continues to have maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Most regions in Luzon as well as Western Visayas are still experiencing rain from Lannie on Tuesday. Isolated to scattered floods and landslides may occur.

Moderate to heavy rain

• Palawan including Calamian, Kalayaan, and Cuyo Islands

Light to moderate rain, with at times heavy rain

• rest of Mimaropa
• Cordillera Administrative Region
• Cagayan Valley
• Central Luzon
• Metro Manila
• Calabarzon
• Bicol
• Western Visayas

In terms of wind, only the northern part of Palawan remains under Signal No. 1. In particular, strong winds will persist in El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Araceli, and the Calamian Islands.

Travel remains risky for small vessels in the Philippines’ coastal waters on Tuesday, especially in the northern part of Palawan and in the seaboards of Northern Luzon. Seas are moderate to rough.

PAGASA expects Lannie to move over the West Philippine Sea, away from the country, until Wednesday, October 6.

Lannie is likely to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday afternoon or evening.

Outside PAR, it will head for the southern part of mainland China or the island province of Hainan.

The weather bureau added that Lannie will likely remain a tropical depression on Tuesday, but it may strengthen into a tropical storm on Wednesday morning ahead of its exit from PAR.

Lannie is the Philippines’ 12th tropical cyclone for 2021. It is also the first tropical cyclone for the month of October, coming right in the middle of the filing of certificates of candidacy for the 2022 elections, which is taking place across the country. The filing of COCs is until Friday.

An average of 20 tropical cyclones form within or enter PAR each year. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2021)

These are PAGASA’s latest estimates for the next six months:

2021

• October – 2 or 3
• November – 2 or 3
• December – 1 or 2

2022

• January – 0 or 1
• February – 0 or 1
• March – 0 or 1

The weather bureau is also monitoring the possible emergence of La Niña in the fourth quarter of 2021. – Rappler.com