Tropical Storm Ramon intensifies again on its way to Cagayan

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MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Storm Ramon (Kalmaegi) strengthened further as it moved closer to the northern part of Cagayan before dawn on Monday, November 18.

In a bulletin issued 5 am on Monday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Ramon now has maximum winds of 85 kilometers per hour (km/h) from the previous 75 km/h and gustiness of up to 105 km/h from the previous 90 km/h.

The tropical storm is already 210 kilometers east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora, or 225 kilometers east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.

It slowed down compared to its speed on Saturday night, November 17, and is now moving northwest at 10 km/h from the previous 15 km/h.

Below is the latest list of areas under tropical cyclone wind signals.

Signal No. 2 (winds of 61 km/h to 120 km/h)

Signal No. 1 (winds of 30 km/h to 60 km/h)

Here is PAGASA's latest rainfall outlook:

Monday morning and afternoon, November 18

Monday evening, November 18

Tuesday, November 19

Flash floods and landslides remain possible. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Travel also remains risky, especially for small vessels, in the seaboards of areas under Signal Nos. 1 and 2, the western seaboard of Northern Luzon, and the eastern seaboards of Central Luzon and Southern Luzon.

Based on Ramon's latest forecast track, it might make landfall in the northern part of Cagayan between Monday evening and Tuesday morning, November 19.

PAGASA said Ramon is likely to intensify further before making landfall, and then gradually weaken after hitting land.

It could leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday evening, November 20.

Forecast track of Tropical Storm Ramon (Kalmaegi) as of November 18, 2019, 5 am. Image from PAGASA

Forecast track of Tropical Storm Ramon (Kalmaegi) as of November 18, 2019, 5 am.

Image from PAGASA

Ramon is the Philippines' 18th tropical cyclone for 2019, and the 2nd for November.

Meanwhile, the low pressure area outside PAR is now 1,860 kilometers east of Eastern Visayas. It is expected to enter on Tuesday, possibly as a tropical depression already.

If it becomes a tropical depression and enters PAR, it would be given the local name Sarah. (READ: LIST: PAGASA's names for tropical cyclones in 2019)

The country gets an average of 20 tropical cyclones annually, but since 2019 is an El Niño year, only 14 to 18 tropical cyclones are expected.

Below is the estimated number of tropical cyclones for the last two months of 2019:

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season last June 14. – Rappler.com